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Thunderclouds are on the horizon in Carney’s long, hot political summer (opens original article in a new tab)

TL;DR

Prime Minister Mark Carney faces a busy summer with political challenges including Alberta's pipeline application, CUSMA trade negotiations, rising inflation, and upcoming byelections.

  • The Liberals lead with 48% support, down two points since June 1, while Conservatives remain at 34%
  • Alberta's pipeline application deadline is July 1, with potential for a referendum on Alberta's status
  • CUSMA trade agreement renewal discussions are ongoing with a July 1 deadline for Canada, Mexico, and the U.S.
  • Inflation rose to 3.2% in May, raising concerns about affordability and potential impact on government popularity
  • Six Liberal and Conservative MPs are expected to resign, leading to byelections in the fall

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