Predictive Modelling: One million simulations reveal the 2026 World Cup favourites (opens original article in a new tab)

A data scientist's model predicts Spain, France, Argentina, and England as top World Cup favorites, with the expanded format reducing historically dominant nations' chances.

• The 2026 FIFA World Cup will have 48 teams, up from 32, with 104 matches compared to 64.
• Spain, France, Argentina, and England have the highest chances of winning, with Spain leading at 15.8%.
• Historically dominant nations like Brazil and Germany have reduced chances of reaching the final under the new format.