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Mamdani-backed candidates are likely to win in NYC primaries, prediction market traders expect (opens original article in a new tab)

TL;DR

Prediction market traders expect Mamdani-backed candidates to likely win in NYC primaries, with specific odds given for each race, though some candidates face stronger opposition.

  • Mamdani-backed candidates are expected to win in NYC primaries according to prediction market traders
  • Kalshi traders give 54% odds for two of three Mamdani-endorsed candidates to win
  • Prediction market odds differ from traditional political polling methods
  • Traders favor Valdez and Lander in NY-7 and NY-10 districts but favor Espaillat in NY-13

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