How many points are needed to advance to the World Cup knockouts? (opens original article in a new tab)

The expanded World Cup format allows top two teams and best eight third-placed finishers to advance, with historical data showing that five points almost guarantee advancement, while three points with positive goal difference gives over 50% chance of progressing.

• Expanded World Cup field allows top two teams and best eight third-placed finishers to advance
• Historical data shows five points almost guarantee advancement from group stage
• Three points with positive goal difference gives over 50% chance of advancing, while negative goal difference reduces chances significantly